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Trading Expectancy Calculator

Enter how many trades you won and lost and how much you made and lost in total: find out what each trade earns on average, your win rate and your real risk-reward.

Your strategy data

Unit

Use winning and losing trades from the same period, with amounts after costs.

USD
USD
Trades closed at zero · optional

Only include results of exactly zero after costs. An exit at entry with fees is a losing trade.

100 trades in the sample

Average result per trade

+US$35.00
Positive average

100 trades · Net result US$3,500.00

Describes your sample. It is not a forecast.

How wins and losses shape expectancy

Each outcome's contribution to the average trade.

Wins +US$90.0045% wins · Average win US$200.00
Losses −US$55.0055% losses · Average loss US$100.00

US$90.00 − US$55.00 =US$35.00 per trade

Win rate and break-even

Average wins, average losses and the flat-trade share stay fixed in this comparison.

Your win rate
45%
Break-even win rate
33.33%

11.67 percentage points above the break-even threshold.

Average win / average loss
2 : 1
Profit factor
1.64

How it works

  1. Step 1

    Enter your numbers

    Winning trades, losing trades, total profit and total loss for the same period, after costs.

  2. Step 2

    Or start from your statistics

    If you already know win rate, average win and average loss, choose From statistics and enter those.

  3. Step 3

    Read the expectancy

    If it is positive, each trade made money on average. You also see the minimum win rate to break even.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

  1. It is the average result of a trade: how much you make or lose, on average, every time you open a position, counting both wins and losses.

Can’t find your answer? Write to the team

Each tool answers one clear question.

From calculations to real data.

Test your strategy in the Backtester and measure real results in the Journal.